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Theses 1: Diffusion

the penetration of crypto into other industries such as sports and entertainment

Diffusion will increase mass adoption.


Theses 2: Fragmentation

the attempt by dominant platforms to monopolize users

Fragmentation will lead to monopolization, as well as the creation of several national platforms (including those integrated with CBDCs), which will increase entry barriers for new projects.

Theses 3: Regulatory Strengthening

leading to restrictions and sanctions.

Regulatory strengthening will slow down the industry’s formation and create a “shadow DeFi”.


Theses 4: "Honeymoon" Is Over

for both the general public and governments with cryptocurrencies

The “honeymoon” phase for both the general public and governments with cryptocurrencies is over, and it will be replaced with much more pragmatic, restrictive, and exploitative approaches. The majority of the political class views cryptocurrencies (as well as decentralization alternatives to current paternalistic, often autocratic, or even outright tyrannical power structures) as a direct personal threat. However, they lack the energy, political cohesion, knowledge, technological means, and, most importantly, time and money to fully suppress it.

In addition, since 10 to 30 percent of most countries’ populations already own or actively use cryptocurrencies, and corporations are pushing for “using the good, blockchain side of it,” our industry is here to stay, one way or another. However, given that regulators around the world will do everything in their power to prevent cryptocurrencies from spreading and competing with local fiat systems (both paper and digital), the next “moon-run” will not be as all-encompassing as the previous two and will likely be limited to a few platforms that manage to survive the coming repressions.

Theses 5: Stagflation

The macroeconomic situation we have gotten ourselves into is reminiscent of that of the 1970s when the oil embargo caused severe inflation and led to the Fed’s overreaction and then to prolonged "stagflation".

The macroeconomic situation we have gotten ourselves into is reminiscent of that of the 1970s when the oil embargo caused severe inflation and led to the Fed’s overreaction and then to prolonged “stagflation” (recession + inflation). Similarly, in 2023, the Fed can’t stop prices from rising in most consumer categories without destroying the demand side, which forces many companies out of business and reduces bottom-lines for the rest of them.

Winners are larger companies which, as a result of lesser competition, continue pushing prices higher to compensate for shrinking revenues. This is exacerbated by the geopolitical rift, which curbs market size for many staple exporting industries (machinery, electronics, transportation, travel, hospitality, entertainment, luxury, etc.). What makes it different today is that corporations have gotten much larger, which means that they can define markets pricing for a longer time, and the geopolitics can’t be fast-fixed.


Theses 6: "Jigsaw"

prolonged uncertainty in all spheres of our lives and a jigsaw on markets

On the other hand, as a consequence of preceding decades of continuing economic expansion and sectoral diversification, many consumers have several parallel sources of revenues and can keep afloat much longer. That is not what the Fed wants, which aims to cool the economy by increasing the unemployment rate and forcing employees to accept lower wages.

As a result, we have a prolonged political fight on our hands. On the one side, there are the rigid monetary authorities that want to fulfill their “dual mandate” (maximum employment and stable prices) by following the economic orthodoxy and raising the interbank rate higher and higher. On the other, there are national and local politicians that want to be reelected at all costs and are growing increasingly uneasy with the pressure the Fed puts on their constituencies. Which way that fight turns defines when the hike stops and when, expectedly, Fed policy will be reverted back from QT to QE.

Still, that leaves two other macro-factors to address — the geopolitics and corporate control over pricing. I doubt that it might be settled as “easy” as the first one. Not to mention, of course, that the list of negative macro-factors (affecting prices on the upside) might be extended. For example, the worsening demographic situation (an increasing proportion of the total population of pensioners puts constant pressure on governments’ budgets around the world) or the growing natural resources deficiency (a higher cost of extraction combined with lesser accessibility) or the galloping military expenditures, etc.

In my opinion, the way out of the current geopolitical, economic, and business gridlocks can be found (at least locally) in increased productivity by further stimulating technological innovations and massively lifting regulatory red-tapes across all major industries (primarily in finance, manufacturing, and construction). However, that is not likely to happen until the current, inefficient, not-tech-savvy generation of politicians continues to desperately grip to their powers. Given the pharmaceutical and anti-aging industry advancements, this transition can take optimistically the next five to possibly ten or even more years.

Meanwhile, my expectation is that different sides will be jousting and alternatively prevailing over each other, causing prolonged uncertainty in all spheres of our lives and a jigsaw on markets.

SVET Value: Silicon Valley Presence

Harsher regulations will restrict access of younger users to mainstream trading platforms.

SVET Value positions itself as an entry point for individual investors with high risk tolerance and an interest to DeFi markets. SVET Value Founders' 20+ years experience with private equity and venture capital as well as 8+ years digital assets markets allows them to combine traditional analytical approaches such as ratings, project due-diligence and financial audits with smart contracts technologies.

Co-invest with crypto-funds by aggregating individual investments of SVET community on smart contracts accounts and establishing long-term relations with small and medium size crypto-funds, which otherwise do not have large support base to promote their invested companies into the DeFi space. It provides SVET fund investors with an opportunity of early entry into otherwise unaccessible deals and at the same time gives crpyto-funds more reach into crpyto-enthusiasts community.


What Is SVET Rating?

SVET Rating is the first public praxiological (human actions driven) rating. It takes into account combine effects of cognitive, emotional and social factors on the decisions of individuals and institutions dealing with crypto currencies and blockchain projects. Uses S.V.E.T. Metrics = System + Vision + Execution + Tokenomics. Includes 16 parameters. Accounts for main drivers of public behavior: technology, economy, organization and psychology. Integrates insights from independent experts and everyday users

  • Security (safety): for defenders (
    - The Protector: Warm-hearted and dedicated, they are always ready to protect the people they care about.
  • Velocity (scalability): for megalomaniacs (
    - The Commander: Outspoken and confident, they are great at making plans and organizing projects.
  • Engineering (design): for geeks (
    - The Architect: High logical, they are both very creative and analytical.
  • Transparency (decentralization): for crypto punks (
    - The Crafter: Highly independent, they enjoy new experiences that provide first-hand learning.
  • Singularity (uniqueness): for Individualists (
    - The Artist: Easy-going and flexible, they tend to be reserved and artistic.
  • Volume (market): for Globalists (
    - The Performer: Outgoing and spontaneous, they enjoy taking center stage.
  • Empathy (enthusiasm): for Tribes (
    - The Persuader: Out-going and dramatic, they enjoy spending time with others and focusing on the here-and-now.
  • TimeLine (road-map): for Visionaries (
    - The Mediator: Idealistic with high values, they strive to make the world a better place.
  • Solution (business): for Dealmakers (
    - The Director: Assertive and rule-oriented, they have high principles and a tendency to take charge.
  • Validity (legality): for Lawyers (
    - The Inspector: Reserved and practical, they tend to be loyal, orderly, and traditional.
  • Equity (finance): For Venture Capitalists (
    - The Advocate: Creative and analytical, they are considered one of the rarest types.
  • Team: for Friends (
    - The Caregiver: Soft-hearted and outgoing, they tend to believe the best about other people.
  • Sustainability (stability): for Sages (
    - The Thinker: Quiet and introverted, they are known for having a rich inner world.
  • Value (venture): for Adventurers (
    - The Debater: Highly inventive, they love being surrounded by ideas and tend to start many projects (but may struggle to finish them).
  • Engagement (usability): for Pragmatics (
    - The Giver: Loyal and sensitive, they are known for being understanding and generous.
  • Transactions (speed): for Travelers (
    - The Champion: Charismatic and energetic, they enjoy situations where they can put their creativity to work.

Here might be your Review.

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