What’s Up With Trexit?

21 Feb 2025 by rate3

Trexit, US-turn, Munich 2.0, whatever you call it, Vence’s Friday speech in front of entrenched Brussels bureaucrats signifies that the new generation of politicians — much younger but no brighter or less greedy — is taking hold of the world.

Since 2017, I have been writing about the upcoming generational shift and what it would mean for the economy and politics. Let me reiterate it a bit.

The main postulate of the generational shift, which happens in 4 smaller cycles each 20–25 years long and one big cycle 80–100 years long, is that the next generation is adherent to just opposite ideologies and uses just opposite strategies to the one preceding it. This means that Musk/Vence/Hegseth or Gen X/Millennials would be authoritarian and violent as opposed to Boomers’ tolerance and peacefulness. It also means that unity and equality would be changed to decentralization and unprecedented differences in incomes.

What we have seen coming from the new White House administration confirms this. We have already had crazy tariffs added by blatant threats and divisive rhetoric. Although most observers think that it is only words and that no drastic actions will follow, I disagree. Worldwide political, economic, and military conflicts are inevitable, not because Trump is who he is, but because he expresses the inner hopes and desires of the new generation — a generation that wants it all and fast.

But we should not blame them. Do not forget that from an evolutionary point of view, humans are supposed to do only one thing: adapt to a changing environment, and that environment has changed a lot since the Boomers came to power. First and foremost, there are now 8 billion of us as opposed to 4, as it used to be in the Elvis epoch. So, competition for even meager incomes has become insane. Plus, Boomers’ pacification led to globalization, which, combined with the Internet, pushed almost everyone on Earth out of lucrative jobs, leaving several corporations and a couple of thousand moguls to rule all of us from their Elysiums.

It might all be good and fair, as many of those moguls are super-humans and keep magnanimously trickling down profits to us downstairs, but it inevitably leads to a global bureaucratization and a stagnation on an Earth scale as more and more super-talented and super-educated individuals have also become super-powerless and extra-poor.

That’s where decentralization comes into the picture. From the point of view of mainstream economists, it means artificial borders are created to prevent the free flow of goods and services, leading to inflation. So, it must be avoided at all costs. Yes, if we take as a postulate that the main point of the economy is to produce more and more goods for lower and lower costs. But that is not correct. The main purpose of the economy is to ensure the multiplication and proliferation of our unique human species by providing increasingly better chances for survival to as many individuals as possible without mutating into a ants-sapience colony led by artificial-super-being.

If we take this position, then it immediately becomes clear that decentralizing the economy and making it less efficient, even under the auspices of growing violence and rising costs, provides more chances for local prosperity for local talents, who now have to compete only with neighbors — not the whole frisking world.

Sure, corporations are not going anywhere, and moguls will try to take it all anyway, but now they have to fight among themselves in an increasingly more ferocious manner, having less time to ensure “efficiency” detrimental to small-but-beautiful businesses. That planet-sized fight among Tyrannosauruses is, of course, extremely dangerous for all of us, but also absolutely inevitable from an evolutionary point of view. Until, of course, in the next 80–100 years, a newly found equilibrium — that of decentralization and small-scale constant warfare — will be challenged as a new wave of centralization for the sake of political “order” and economic “efficiency” will be brought upon us by a freshly bred generation of megalomaniacs, who, after all, will convert us into an ants-sapience colony led by artificial-super-being.